NFL : Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Odds & Prediction

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October 3, 2024

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Game Info: October 3, 2024 8:15PM EDT @ Mercedes-Benz Stadium

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have looked good of late winning against Philadelphia, Detroit and Washington among other teams. Moreover, their ability to cover the spread in important games demonstrates their fighting spirit. In contrast, the Atlanta Falcons were inconsistent over the season, winning matches against franchises like New Orleans and Philadelphia and failing against the likes of Kansas City and Jacksonville. Both teams come into this fixture hoping to generate some momentum and that makes it an interesting game ahead.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Buccaneers +105 , Falcons -125Spread: Buccaneers +1.5 , Falcons -1.5Over/Under: 44

Team Recent Performance

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

On September 30, the team overcame Philadelphia with a score of 33 – 16, which meant that the + 1 line was successful and the total went over 42.5. On September 23, they were beaten by Denver with the score of 7 – 26 while failing to cover -6 line and the total stayed under 40.5.  Two weeks earlier on September 16th, they managed to beat Detroit 20-16 easily covering the +7.5 spread and total remaining under 51.5. On September 9, they also managed to beat Washington 37-20 comfortably covering the -4 spread total going over 42.5. Finally, they went up against the Miami team on August 24th where they also won 24-14 covering the -3 spread and this time the total went over 37.5.

Atlanta Falcons

They managed to win 26-24 over New Orleans on September 30th, but they did not meet the -3 coverage, with the total going over 42.5. On September 23rd, they were defeated 17-22 by Kansas City and did not make the +3 spread, with the total going under 47. On the 17th of September, they also won a match with Philadelphia 22-21, managing to cover the +5.5 handicap and with the overall score going under 46.5. On the 9th of September, however, they lost in a match against Pittsburgh by the score of 10-18 and also failed to cover the -4 handicap, the total being under 43. Finally, on August 24th, they also lost to Jacksonville 0-31 who were favored by the bookmakers more than the +8 spread, the total score also being under 35.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

In this context of comparing Tampa Bay (7-3) and Atlanta (3-7) the both Having the same records against the spread (5-5) and totals over and under (7-3) in this case is a matchup that cuts across all concerns. Tampa Bay averages 29.00 points per game while Atlanta averages 23.20 points which is lower than that of Tampa Bay. Atlanta also leads in rushing yards with 106.10 as compared to those of Tampa Bay which stands at 92.90, but quite conversely in Tampa Bay passing averages they lead with 277.40 as compared to Atlanta with 260.90. It comes as no surprise that both teams have close passing ratings, as Tampa Bay makes 64.92% of its passes, while the dry team makes 64.71% of its attempts. Turnovers, on the other hand, are statistically intact with Tampa Bay averaging 1.10 and 1.40 averages for Atlanta respectively.

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

In light of his knee injury, Mike Evans (WR) has a probable status for Thursday’s contest. However, key players such as Chase Edmonds(RB) who is on injured reserve with a knee problem, as well as Antoine Winfield Jr. (S) who is out for an extended period with a foot injury, will not be available for the Buccaneers. Further,Luke Goedeke (G) and Calijah Kancey (DT) have both been ruled out of Thursday’s match with concussions and a calf injury, respectively.

Atlanta Falcons

Kaleb McGary (T) and Bijan Robinson (RB) have received a probable designation for Thursday’s matchup against Tampa Bay, McGary from a knee injury and Robinson on a hamstring complaint. However, the team will be without Troy Andersen (LB), who has been ruled out with a knee injury. Other notable players on the IR include Harrison Hand (CB) as well as Rondale Moore (WR) and Drew Dalman (C) who are all dealing with knee or ankle concerns. Jase McClellan (RB) is listed as questionable for Thursday due to an illness.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win and cover the spread, with the total going over 44.

Check out our suggested sportbook listed if you’re seeking for a good site to wager on this matchup.