NFL : Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 11, 2025 4:30PM EST @ NRG Stadium

The Chargers have done a great job on offense of late showing that they can blow teams out and cover spreads. On the other side of the field, you have the Texans putting together some very good efforts but having poor efforts against quality defenses. Now both teams will try to ride their prowess: the Chargers riding that high-scoring, fast-paced offense while Houston rests atop the running game with a defense, needing to cash in on their respective game styles. It’s a clash of styles interestingly as both think they can outplay each other to get that critical win.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Chargers 1.63 , Texans 2.37

Spread: Chargers -3 , Texans +3

Over/Under: 43

Team Recent Performance

Los Angeles Chargers

They paved the way to a 34-20 victory over Las Vegas on January 6. This set them as winners of the -7 spread and over 42.5 for this game. On December 29, in their matchup against New England, however, they annihilated them with a score of 40-7 while covering the -6 spread and going above a 41.5 total. They also defeated Denver on December 20 by a score of 34-27, narrowly covering a -3 spread as well as going past 41.5 overall. On December 16, however, they fell short of glory, losing 40-17 to Tampa Bay. Again, they failed to cover the -3 spread but hit the over at 46. Earlier, on December 9, they inverse lost very narrowly to Kansas City 17-19 but were quite good at covering the +4.5 spread while being under 43 altogether.

Houston Texans

Their performances include a recent 23-14 win over Tennessee on January 6, covering the +2.5 spread, and hitting the over on 36.5. A 2-31 loss at Baltimore on December 26 saw them fail to cover the +6.5 spread, tallying under the 47.5 total. Kansas City’s December 22 squash was a 19-27 loss that missed the +3.5 spread but went above the total of 43. They beat Miami on December 16; the final score was 20-12, covering -2.5 and under 46.5. Last, on December 2, they took care of business over Jacksonville, winning by 23-20 but failing to cover the -3.5 spread, with the contest going under the total of 44.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Both the LA Chargers and Houston Texans come into this match after having their performance contrasted. The Chargers enjoy an impressive 6-3 record, while the Texans maintain a poor performance of 3-6. When it comes to the point spread, the Chargers do a wonderful job with 7-2, while the Texans take pride in their 2-7 line. When it comes to the point total, both teams posted a 5-4 record overall. Offensively, the LA Chargers have 27.44 points per game compared with the Texans’ 21.33. The rushing yards averaged over the Texans give Houston, 116.33, a win by more than 25 over Los Angeles’s 91.33. The passing game shows the edges gained from the Chargers, with a narrow average over the Texans of 237.78 yards to 236.33. Also, the total yard includes shows closeness with a bit given to Houston at 352.67 yards against 329.11, Los Angeles. The turnovers though will have a role in this series as the Chargers are much safer, with 1.11 per game compared to the 2.33 average of the Texans. It just indicates the two opposing differences, strengths, and weaknesses.

Team Injuries Update

Los Angeles Chargers

Several players are sidelined with injuries, including Denzel Perryman (LB, groin), Eddie Jackson (S, undisclosed), Terrell Edmunds (S, illness), Gus Edwards (RB, ankle), Jalen Reagor (WR, finger), Joshua Palmer (WR, heel), and Brenden Rice (WR, shoulder). Alohi Gilman (S, hamstring), Elijah Molden (CB, knee), Deane Leonard (DB, hamstring), and Junior Colson (LB, ankle) are questionable.

Houston Texans

Jerry Hughes (DE, hip), Christian Harris (LB, ankle), Jamal Hill (LB, knee) are questionable. Several players are confirmed out, including Shaq Mason (G, knee), Denico Autry (DE, knee), Folorunso Fatukasi (DT, ankle), Jeff Okudah (CB, concussion), and Tank Dell (WR, knee). 

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Los Angeles Chargers will win and cover the spread with the total going over 43.

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