NFL : Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Odds & Prediction

Game Info: October 13, 2024 1:00PM EDT @ Gillette Stadium

The Texans have been on a burning run, winning four out of their last five games, including wins over Buffalo and Jacksonville. On the other hand, the Patriots are on the sinking ship as they have lost four out of their last five, with only one winning game coming from the Cincinnati game. There are some injuries affecting both teams which may turn out to be a major factor as well.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Texans -305 , Patriots +249

Spread: Texans -7 , Patriots +7

Over/Under: 38

Team Recent Performance

Houston Texans

The last five matches played by the team have seen them perform impressively, winning four of them. On October 7, they faced Buffalo and defeated them 23-20 as -2 favorites (the match went below 48 points). They also triumphed over Jacksonville 24-20 on September 30 while favored by -5.5 (the total was under 44.5 points). A remarkable turnaround from this, however, was their 7-34 defeat to Minnesota on September 23 while the ‘Bears’ were favored at -1.5 (the game was below 46.5 points). Other victories include a -6.5 favorites capped win over Chicago on September 16 with a score of 19-13 (the total was below 45.5 points) and a 29-27 win over Indianapolis on September 9 while pegged at -3 (the total went over 48 points).

New England Patriots

The team has recently gone cold with a record of 1 win and 4 losses. They lost to Miami on October 7, 10-15 at +2 underdogs (under 36.5 total points). On the 30th of September, they suffered defeat to San Francisco 13-30 as +10.5 dogs (over the total of 42.5 points). Also, on September 20, they lost -3-24 to the Jets as +6.5 underdogs (under the total of 39.5 points) and in Seattle on September 16, they lost 20-23 as +3 underdogs (over the total of 39.5). The team managed to grab only one victory on September 9, defeating Cincinnati 16-10 as +8 underdogs (under the total of 40.5 points).

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

In this direct clash between New England (8-2) and Houston (2-8), the former outshines the latter in terms of the primary win-loss record and offensive stats. Both teams are deadlocked at 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 in the over/under line. New England scores more points on average in a game(29.3 vs. 21.1) and records more total yards(390.2 vs. 334.5). Their offense is balanced with a better running game(114.7 vs. 97.8 rush yards) and a more explosive passing game with additional growing statistics(275.5 vs. 236.7 passing yards). The number of pass attempts and the completion percentages are almost similar for both teams but New England has fewer turnovers.

Team Injuries

Houston Texans

Jerry Hughes (DE), Jimmie Ward (S), Derek Barnett (DE), Joe Mixon (RB), Tytus Howard (T), Dameon Pierce (RB), and Kurt Hinish (DT) are all questionable for Sunday’s game. Meanwhile, Case Keenum (QB), Jeff Okudah (CB), Dalton Keene (TE), Nico Collins (WR), Brevin Jordan (TE), Christian Harris (LB), Brandon Hill (S), Jaylon Thomas (G), and British Brooks (RB) are on injured reserve, with Jordan out for the season due to an ACL injury.

New England Patriots

David Andrews (C) and Ja’Whaun Bentley (LB) are both out for the season, while Jabrill Peppers (S) is out indefinitely due to legal issues. Kyle Dugger (S), K.J. Osborn (WR), and Marte Mapu (LB) are questionable for Sunday’s game against Houston. Oshane Ximines (LB), Jake Andrews (C), Alex Austin (CB), Caedan Wallace (T), JaQuae Jackson (WR), and Jack Westover (TE) are all on injured reserve. Drake Maye (QB) is expected to start on Sunday.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Houston Texans will win and cover the spread, with the total staying under 38.

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