NBA : Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Odds & Prediction

Game Info: April 18, 2025 7:00PM EDT @ State Farm Arena

The Miami squad showcases excellent momentum, emerging from a crushing victory over Chicago and an avalanche of offensive shooting against New Orleans. And while Atlanta has flown back strongly yet again at the right time, it managed to deliver even more crushing defeats over Philadelphia and Brooklyn. Two teams are in a form that can be intermittently described as streaky, and injuries on depth can keep changing energies in this matchup.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Heat 1.95 , Hawks 1.86

Spread: Heat +1 , Hawks -1

Over/Under: 218.5

Team Recent Performance

Miami Heat

As 2-point underdogs, they beat the Bulls on April 17, 109-90, with the total going under 220. On April 14, they almost won against the Wizards, losing 118-119 and failing to cover the 8.5-point spread with the game going over 215.5. April 12 saw them demolish the Pelicans, winning 153-104 as 15-point favorites with the total going over the easy. The 2-point favorites fell to the Bulls the previous game on April 10, losing by 8 points with the score crossing 227.5. They then beat the 76ers 117-105 on April 8, covering the 11.5-point spread and making the over on 216.5.

Atlanta Hawks

They lost by a score of 95-120 to the Magic on April 16. I was 6-point underdogs, and the total did not supersede 220.5. They had gained a win against the Magic on April 14, totaling 117-105, while covering the +3.5 spread and shooting the over hit on 215.5. The 76ers were also defeated on April 12 with a score of 124-110 as 11.5-point favorites under a total of 240. On April 11, the team beat the Nets 133-109 as 13.5-point favorites, thus exceeding the mark of 234.5. They fell into the hands of Orlando on April 9 as 5.5-point underdogs, a loss of 112 to 119, with the over hit on 225.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

They are closely matched, with Miami slight favorites as the Heat carry a 6-4 record while the Hawks trail at 4-6. Both teams are even against the spread and over/under at 5-5. In terms of points per game, the Heat average just a toenail more at 114.8, while Atlanta is at 112.5. At halftime, points scored are almost identical: The Hawks lead the Heat 58.0 to 57.8. With respect to field goal percentages, the teams are very close: Miami is shooting 47.26% and Atlanta 47.19%. As far as rebounding is concerned, the Hawks are clearly superior with 45.4 rebounds, opposing Miami’s 40.7. Miami easily scores more from behind-the-arc with 147 as compared to Atlanta’s 135, while slightly winning the other side stats with 8.2 steals per game over 8.0 from their opponent.

Team Injuries Update

Miami Heat

Dru Smith (PG, Achilles) is out. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (PG, ankle) is probable.

Atlanta Hawks

Clint Capela (C, personal), Jalen Johnson (SF, shoulder), and Kobe Bufkin (PG, shoulder) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Miami Heat will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 218.5.

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