MLB : New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds & Prediction

Game Info: June 21, 2025 7:15PM EDT @ Citizens Bank Park

The Phillies are riding high on momentum into the event compared to the Mets, who have been struggling. It presents an opportunity for Philadelphia to remain hot and for New York to turn things around. Definitely worth watching for fans and bettors alike.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Mets 2.75 , Phillies 1.51

Spread: Mets +1.5 , Phillies -1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

Team Recent Performance

New York Mets

Then, on June 14 and 15, they went back-to-back home losses to the Rays 4-8 and then 0-9, but failed to cover the -1.5 spread for both; both also went OVER. They lost to the Braves on June 17 by a score of 4-5 but made the +1.5 cover and went OVER on a score of 4-5. They lost on June 18 by a score of 0-5 then on June 19 by 1-7 in Atlanta, failing to cover on both of those as well as having both go UNDER.

Philadelphia Phillies

On June 15, the Phillies were the best against the Blue Jays since then they defeated them with an 11-4 score and covered the -1.5 spread, going OVER on the total. They again recorded a win on June 16 against the Marlins going 5-2 again covering the -1.5 and going UNDER this time. Unfortunately on June 17, they lost 3-8 to the Marlins failing them to cover the spread and with the total going OVER. The next day, June 18, shows their true strength as they defeated Miami winning 4-2 while also covering the -1.5 spread and with the total being UNDER. They also managed on June 19 to win against the Marlins by 2-1 although it didn’t cover the spread and the total was again UNDER.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

When it comes to statistics in their one-on-one matchup, the New York Mets emerge as the better-hitting team than their rival, the Philadelphia Phillies. The average runs and hits for the Mets amount to 4.70 and 8.30 per game respectively against the Phillies average runs of 3.60 and 7.60 hits. The Mets also have a better walks per game record with an average of 4.20 against 3.50 for the Phillies. The Mets, though, strike out more with 10.40 than the Phillies’ average of 9.50. Both teams are 6-4 on the over-under, indicating a good close balance between the two teams in terms of how much total runs scored in their games.

Betting Trends

New York Mets

The Mets have lost their last 5 games and are 1-4 in that period against the spread. The team has lost 19 games on the road this season and has been defeated 19 times against the spread. The total has been OVER in three of their last five games and 15 of their last 37 home games.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies enjoyed a nice moment winning 4 out of their last 5 games and going 3-2 against the spread in that stretch. On the road, they’re 19-19 against the spread on this season. The over has hit in 2 of their last 5 and in 18 of their last 37 games at home.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 8.5.

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