MLB : Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Odds & Prediction

Game Info: May 17, 2025 7:15PM EDT @ Fenway Park

The Atlanta Braves, on an urgent mission to win their first two away games of the season, can count on resilience and four wins in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox are trying to find themselves after a disastrous stretch of losing streaks; they are looking forward to coming back to win at home. This is a match between two teams, and given the different narratives, one is finding rhythm, the other trying to reclaim it.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Braves 2.06 , Red Sox 1.86

Spread: Braves +1.5 , Red Sox -1.5

Over/Under: 9.5

Team Recent Performance

Atlanta Braves

On May 17, repeating the trend of winning and meeting the total again, the Braves beat the Boston Red Sox, 4-2, thus covering the -1.5 spread while the total indeed went under 8. Beating the Nationals 5-2 on May 16, they covered -1.5 during the under of 8.5. On May 15, however, the Braves succumbed to Washington in a tight contest: 4-5 scoreline, and they failed to cover -1.5 against a total that stayed under 9. The subsequent day, they redeemed themselves by winning against the Nationals: 5-2, which meant covering -1.5 under 8.5. On May 13, they had a victory over the Red Sox, with a slight edge of 4-3 despite the spread of -1.5 conviction under 8.5.

Boston Red Sox

The last stop was on May 17, where they lost to the Braves 2-4 and failed to cover +1.5 with the total going under 8. They dropped all three games against the Tigers, including a 5-6 loss on May 15 with a +1.5 bet on the over at 7, losing on May 14, 9-10, failing to cover -1.5 on the over at 8.5 and then lost 2-14 on May 13, once again failing to cover -1.5 on the over at 8.5. The solitary bright spot happened on May 12 when they beat the Royals 3-1, covering +1.5 and the total remaining under 8.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Head-to-head comparisons show the Atlanta Braves with an average of 4.40 runs per game, a fraction better than the Boston Red Sox with an average of 4.00 runs per game. The Red Sox also have the edge in hits with 8.30 hits per game against the Braves’ 7.90. Another difference is that Boston draws more walks on average, 3.30 against 2.80 for Atlanta, while the Braves average 7.70 strikeouts per game, with the Red Sox averaging 10.40 strikeouts. In terms of over/under record, both teams are even at 3-7.

Team Injuries Update

Atlanta Braves

Ronald Acuña Jr. (OF, knee), Joe Jiménez (P, knee), Austin Cox (P, knee), Spencer Strider (P, hamstring), and Nacho Alvarez (IF, wrist) are out.

Boston Red Sox

Tanner Houck (P, arm), Patrick Sandoval (P, elbow), Kutter Crawford (P, knee), Romy Gonzalez (IF, back), and Masataka Yoshida (OF, shoulder) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Atlanta Braves will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 9.5.

Check out our suggested sportbook listed if you’re seeking for a good site to wager on this matchup.