Run Line Trap or Value Bet? Diamondbacks +1.5 Aiming to Spoil Pirates’ Party

Game Info: Sunday, July 28, 2024, 8:10 AM EST (Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ)

Betting Odds

• Money Line: Diamondbacks (+140) | Pirates (-160)
• Run Line: Diamondbacks +1.5 (+125) | Pirates -1.5 (-145)
• Total Runs: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-120)

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this Diamondbacks at Pirates game having just defeated the lowly Kansas City Royals in series. The Arizona Diamondbacks are still firmly in last place in the National League West despite their recent success. With a meager average of 4 points and 2 runs per game, their offense has been patchy and is currently ranked 24th in MLB.

The Diamondbacks young core will be their primary source of offensive production. With a .292 batting average and 17 stolen bases, outfielder Corbin Carroll leads the team and keeps getting better. With 18 home runs, first baseman Seth Beer has also been a shining light. It has been difficult to score consistently though because the rest of the lineup has been inconsistent.

Rookie right-hander Rylan Miller of the Diamondbacks will almost certainly get the ball when it comes to pitching. In 30 innings pitched, Miller has struck out 30 batters in moments of exceptional brilliance. He has walked 16 batters though due to control issues. Although Miller may have felt more confident during the Pirates game, his lack of experience is still a cause for concern.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

This year, the Pittsburgh Pirates are participating in an unexpected postseason competition. Now, the third and last NL Wild Card spot is just four games away from them. The Pirates’ tenacious offense has allowed them to score runs despite having excellent pitching.

The Pirates don’t have any offensive standouts, but they do have a number of reliable players who can put the ball in play. Oneil Cruz, the starting shortstop leads the team in .281 batting average, and Josh VanMeter is a reliable player who is always on base. With 82 stolen bases this season, the Pirates rank 7^th in the MLB demonstrating their effectiveness at stealing bases.

It is currently unknown how the Pirates will pitch. However, a major factor in their success this season has been their staff. Veterans like Mitch Keller and Roansy Contreras have provided consistency and innings even though rookie right-hander Quinn Priester has shown promise.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Diamondbacks and Pirates will play each other three times this season. This will be their final encounter. The series began in May at Chase Field with a pair of victories for the Pirates.
• In their last 20 games the Diamondbacks have a 7-13 record when playing away from home.
• The Pirates home record this season is 18–14.
• The Diamondbacks are 24-34 against teams with a winning record.
• When playing teams with a losing record, the Pirates have a 21–31 record.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

There’s an interesting aesthetic distinction between this Diamondbacks at Pirates’ game. The young, offensively, underdeveloped Diamondbacks rely heavily on pitching. The Pirates’ offensive lineup is more evenly matched when they combine pitching with a tenacious offense that score runs.

A major element of this game will be the pitching matchup. In order to maintain the Diamondbacks competitiveness, Rylan Miller needs to regain control and restrict walks. Nonetheless, the Pirates have a slight advantage due to their experience and home field.

Bases theft and defensive pressure are two offensive strategies that the Pirates can take advantage of. It might be difficult for the young pitching staff of the Diamondbacks to handle the extra strain.

Prediction: Pirates (-160) to win.

Despite the fact that the Diamondbacks are a young team, the Pirates should prevail in this Diamondbacks at Pirates game because of their home field advantage and experience. However, given both teams patchy offenses, the under (8 points and 5 runs) might also be a wise wager.