ABN AMRO Open Tennis: Alex De Minaur at Stan Wawrinka Odds & Prediction

Game Info (When and Where)

Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026

Time: Approx. 7:30 PM local time (Evening Session)

Venue: Rotterdam Ahoy, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Alex De Minaur (-450) | Stan Wawrinka (+320)

Set Betting: De Minaur 2-0 (-165) | De Minaur 2-1 (+280)

Total Games: Over/Under 21.5

Alex De Minaur Betting Preview

Alex De Minaur enters this match as the obvious favorite and the top seed of the tournament. After finishing as the runner-up in Rotterdam for two consecutive years (2024 and 2025), the Australian is eager to finally claim the title. He started his 2026 season with a strong 7-6, 6-2 victory over Arthur Fils, showcasing his trademark defensive abilities and improved serve.

If you’re looking to place some bets, De Minaur is definitely the one to pick. His ability to drag out rallies and force opponents into making mistakes is a real challenge for older players who prefer a fast game. In the quick-paced indoor setting of the Rotterdam Ahoy, his transition from defense to offense has never looked better.

Stan Wawrinka Betting Preview

At 40, Stan Wawrinka claims this will be his final season on the ATP Tour. However, don’t let his age fool you; the Swiss “Stanimal” still possesses one of the most powerful one-handed backhands the game has ever witnessed. Wawrinka secured his place in this match by defeating Dutch teenager Thijs Boogaard in straight sets, proving he still has the ability to dominate service games.

Wawrinka’s chance for an upset depends on keeping the points brief. If he can hit a high percentage of first serves and take control with his forehand, he can make De Minaur chase after the ball. At +320, he’s a great pick for anyone betting on a fairytale farewell in a city where he won the trophy back in 2015.

Matchup/League Facts

Head-to-Head: Alex De Minaur has had the edge in their previous matchups, showcasing a solid 6-3, 6-0 win in their most recent face-off at the 2024 Monte-Carlo Masters.

Venue History: Wawrinka was the champion back in 2015, and De Minaur has made it to the finals for the past two years in a row.

Tournament Standing: De Minaur is now sitting at World No. 6, and Wawrinka is using a wildcard for his goodbye tour.

Alex De Minaur at Stan Wawrinka Prediction

While the crowd will surely back the legendary Swiss player, this match seems to favor the Australian’s youth and incredible footwork. Wawrinka still has that ‘heavy ball’ that can penetrate most defenses, but De Minaur’s ability to retrieve almost everything will probably wear out the 40-year-old’s legs.

I think Wawrinka will make the first set interesting, maybe even take it to a tiebreak, but as the match goes on, Alex De Minaur’s consistency should win out against Stan Wawrinka.

Sportbook AG Final Prediction: Alex De Minaur to win in straight sets (7-6, 6-3).