NFL : Washington Commanders vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 12, 2025 8:00PM EST @ Raymond James Stadium

The Washington Commanders and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are on either side of their previous showing, both showcasing vistas of perseverance and determination during the key moments. Washington has really done well under pressure, racking up five straight wins, including a monumental last-minute victory over Dallas. Tampa Bay has not spared itself either, demonstrating the ability to defeat opponents such as Carolina and quickly bounce back from narrow losses to posting blowout victories. Both teams have a balanced offense and defense, setting up an interesting match between them at the Raymond James Stadium. With playoff implications on the line, it is sure to turn out to be an intense battle, one which, perhaps, will come down to the minutest details.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Commanders 2.40 , Buccaneers 1.62

Spread: Commanders +3 , Buccaneers -3

Over/Under: 50.5

Team Recent Performance

Washington Commanders

They narrowly defeated Dallas on January 6th, edging the Cowboys 23-19 without covering the -7 spread as the game went under 43.5 total points scored. On December 30, they triumphed over Atlanta 30-24 while covering their -3.5 spread as the total went over 46.5. A week before that, they outlasted Philadelphia 36-33 as +4 underdogs while the total exceeded the 47-point threshold. The Saints were narrowly edged out on December 16th as the team walked away with a win of 20-19 but came short in making the -7.5 spread, as the total earned less than 44.5. The score on December 2 was huge with a winning score of 42-19 against Tennessee, covering the -6 and going over the 45.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

They managed to defeat New Orleans 27-19 on January 6, but didn’t manage to cover the -14.5 spread; an over 44.5 was the total. In the preceding week, they blazed past Carolina 48-14 and covered the -9.5 spread while also hitting the over of 47.5. And on December 23, they narrowly lost to Dallas at 26-24, failing slightly to meet the -4.5 spread, although the total went over 49. The team soon bounced back by overpowering the Chargers with a huge win of 40-17 on December 16, making the +3 spread and betting over 46. On December 9, Las Vegas lost 28-13, which again covered the -7 while staying under 47 total points.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

So both Washington Commanders and Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this matchup with completely identical 5-5 records and ATS performance, while both teams are also 4-6 heads up under the over/under category. The Commanders have about a 2-point edge in terms of offensive scoring, averaging 21.8 points per game as to 19.5 points for the Commanders. Tampa passes for 258.1 yards per game compared to Washington’s 229.4 and has a slightly higher completion percentage of 68.82 percent compared to 64.38 percent of Washington. On the other hand the Commanders are the ones who are steady when it comes to the ground game, totaling 122.5 rushing yards per game compared to 105.9 of the Buccaneers. In total yards, both teams are pretty similar, with Tampa Bay having a slight edge (364 compared to 351.9). Defense is again very close on turnover takeaways as Tampa Bay averages 1.4 per game, while the Commanders have 1.7. With virtually identical statistics, this game could well come down to the smallest differences in execution.

Team Injuries Update

Washington Commanders

Tyler Ott (LS, illness) and K.J. Osborn (WR, illness), Jamison Crowder (WR, groin), and Nick Bellore (LB, knee) are questionable. Noah Brown (WR, knee), Austin Seibert (K, hip), Tyler Owens (S, ankle), and Colson Yankoff (TE, hamstring) are out.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jordan Whitehead (S, pectoral), Mike Edwards (S, quad) and Antoine Winfield (S, knee), Jamel Dean (CB, knee), Joe Tryon-Shoyinka (LB, ankle), K.J. Britt (LB, ankle), and Logan Hall (DE, groin), Kameron Johnson (WR, ankle) and Cade Otton (TE, knee), J.J. Russell (LB, hamstring), Evan Deckers (LS, hamstring) are questionable. Troy Hill (CB, knee), Chris Godwin (WR, foot), and Markees Watts (OLB, knee) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 50.5.

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