NFL: Patriots Favored to Beat Struggling Commanders

Game Info: August 25, 2024 8:00PM ET @ FedExField

Recently, the Commanders have been struggling losing streaks while unable to beat point spreads. The Patriots have had some kind of roller coaster experience lately. When these two teams played against each other before; however, it seems that the placement of them on paper seems somewhat disproportionate.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Patriots -299, Commanders +244

Spread: Patriots -6.5, Commanders +6.5

Over/Under: 35

Team Recent Performance

Washington Commanders

Washington Commanders just lost it all bagging them a total of 6 wins out of thirteen played against Miami on August 18th while they could not cover a +5 spread with total point count going below 37.Their second friendlies ended in defeat against Jets which saw the team rack up 17 points as against NY’s 20 on 11th August missing out on a -3 spread but reaching over the 34.5 mark when summarized earlier there were two significant defeats for them; once was during Dallas which tapped them at 10 -38 on January 8th expecting much after another loss suffered across another state line again weeks later when minor losses occurred again at San Francisco (10-27), really hard blows especially taking into account huge margins off each time they played this teams. Flexibility was presented to them during their closest loss of 28-30 against the jets on 25th December when they were able to cover the +3 spread and went over 36.5 points.

New England Patriots

The recent performances of New England Patriots have been somewhat contrasting. On August 16th, they were defeated by the Eagles 13-14, resulting in a missed -3.5 spread as the game score remained below 33.5 points. Also, they managed to beat the Panthers 17-3 on August 9th, covering the -6 spread and also staying under 34.5 points. They earlier lost their January 8th match against Jets with a score of 3-17 with no coverage on the -2.5 spread, and then lost to Bills by 21-27 on January 1st but still managed to cover +14.5 lower bound limit. Their last victory came from winning over Broncos at a score of 26-23 while covering a +7 point spread going over 37.5 points scored in total.

Team  Head-to-Head Matchup

In terms of a 4-3 record, New England Patriots are slight favorites over Washington Commanders’ 3-4 record. On the other hand, when it comes to spread (ATS), that is a bet, the Patriots have 3 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws whereas The Commanders have 2 wins and 3 losses with 2 draws. Having that similar record for over/under with both teams is a tie as well (3-4). The Patriots offense is doing better in terms of points per game averaging 28.86 while the Commanders’ stand around 16.86 points per game behind them. In addition to leading passing attempts (41.43 versus 34.00), rushing yards (130.29 for 106.71) and completion percentage (61.72%-57.98%), New England also leads in these areas: passing yards (286.14 against 210.86) and total yards(416.43 against 317.57) even though they are almost alike wrt their turnover rate (1.57 versus 1.71).

Team Injuries

Washington Commanders

They are dealing with an injury as defensive end Justin Hollins is out due to a shoulder issue.

New England Patriots

They are facing uncertainty with wide receiver Kendrick Bourne, who is listed as questionable due to a knee injury.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Patriots, despite some inconsistent results, have shown stronger overall stats and are favored with a -6.5 spread and a moneyline of -299. The Commanders have struggled recently and have not performed well against spreads. The Patriots are better overall offensively, scoring 28.86 points per game, while the Commanders score only 16.86 points per game on average. The Patriots will win this matchup.

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