NFL : New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds & Prediction

Enen
September 4, 2024
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Game Info: September 8, 2024 1:00PM EDT @ Paycor Stadium

The Patriots have had a mix of results recently, while the Bengals have faced a tough stretch of their own. Both teams are looking to bounce back as they head into this matchup. Key injuries could further impact their performance.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Patriots +325 , Bengals -413

Spread: Patriots +8.5 , Bengals -8.5

Over/Under: 40.5

Team Recent Performance

New England Patriots

They played against Washington on the 26th of August and lost 10-20, failing to cover a -6.5 spread while the total went under 36.5. On the 16th of August, they played against Philadelphia and lost 13-14 missing a -3.5 spread and with the total going under 33.5. They won against Carolina 17-3 on August 9, covering the -6 spread, with the total going under 34.5 before losing to New York Jets on January 8 by 3-17; this led them not to cover a -2.5 spread but still had an under of 28.5 as far as totals are concerned. Finally, on January 1st they lost to Buffalo by 21-27 but covered the +14.5 spread, with the total going over 40.

Cincinnati Bengals

They lost 14-27 to Indianapolis on August 23rd, as they failed to cover a +7 spread while the game went over a total of 34.5. On August 18th, they were again beaten by Chicago for the 2nd time this month, this time with a score of 3-27 without even covering a +7 spread and having a match total under 36. In August 11th, they suffered another defeat when Tampa Bay beat them 14-17 and missed out again on covering the -5 spread while ending up way below the total point of 38.5. Cleveland was beaten by them 31-14 on January 8th as they managed to cover the -7.5 spread and went high above at least 37.5 points combined in that game alone. Lastly but not least important for their recent history is that on January 1st Kansas City beat them 25-17 which also meant missing out the +7 spread, with the total going under 45.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

While the Patriots sport a record of 7-3, it is better than the Bengals’ 3-7 record. The Bengals are just 4-6 in betting terms against the spread (ATS) while the Patriots have a better 6-4 record. Both teams have a similar record for over/under (O/U) at 7-3. When compared with Cincinnati’s average score of 18.30 points per game, New England scores an average of 29.80 points per match which makes them superior. In terms of rushing yards per game, New England accumulates about 130.60 yards unlike Cincinnati’s 112.00 yards per match respectively . To complete about 32.70 passes every game, Patriots throw about 230.70 yards; however, Bengals throw an average of 247.60 passing yards by making around 35.40 attempts at completion rate of around 66.67%. In terms of total yards per game, Bengals average 359.6 while on the other hand Patriots averages 361.3.The two are miles apart considering that in a matchup between Bengals’ 2 turnovers, Patriots’ only 0.5 turnover

Team Injuries

New England Patriots

Sunday’s game in Cincinnati is uncertain for Jacoby Brissett (QB), Hunter Henry (TE), Christian Ellis (LB), Vederian Lowe (T) and Sidy Sow (G) due to different sorts of injuries. On the other hand, Armon Watts (DT), Tyrone Wheatley Jr. (T), Marte Mapu (LB), Jake Andrews (C) and JaQuae Jackson (WR) have been put under injured reserve because of unnamed or pronounced ailments.

Cincinnati Bengals

Sam Hubbard (DE), Jake Browning (QB), and Amarius Mims (T) are questionable for Sunday’s game against New England due to injuries. Ja’Marr Chase (WR) is probable to play. Chris Evans (RB), Cam Sample (DE), D’Ante Smith (T), Brad Robbins (P), and McKinnley Jackson (DT) are on injured reserve with various injuries.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Bengals are expected to win and cover the spread because of their home-field advantage and better recent record, but it could be a close game. The game is expected to score moderately high, according to the 40.5 total over/under, but recent trends for both teams point to a possible lower total.

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Author Enen