NFL : Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans Odds & Prediction

Game Info: December 15, 2024 1:00PM EST @ NRG Stadium

Miami enters this match after having a very erratic stretch, such as scoring very well against New England and Las Vegas, but not covering the spread otherwise. On the other hand, Houston seems to be steady with major wins over both Dallas and Jacksonville, but faltered by losing to Tennessee and Detroit. They both have had their peaks and valleys in performance, making the coming matchup competitive. This is sure to probe stronger and floundering sides while duking it out for an important win.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Dolphins 2.29 , Houston 1.66

Spread: Dolphins +2.5 , Houston -2.5

Over/Under: 46.5

Team Recent Performance

Miami Dolphins

So, on December 9th, the group went against the Jets and won 32-26 but did not cover the -6.5 spread. The total thus went over (45). On November 29th, they lost to Green Bay as +3.5 underdogs, with the game staying under (47.5). On November 25th, they beat New England 34-15 and covered the -7.5 line set for the contest while scoring over (45.5). In their previous game on November 18, they garnered a 34-point score against Las Vegas compared to 19 points wherein they were able to cover the -8 spread and also went over (43.5) in counts. Lastly, on November 12, they won against the Rams at +2.5 underdogs, totalling the entire action under (49.5).

Houston Texans

The -3.5 spread was not covered when the team defeated Jacksonville on December 2nd, scoring 23-20, hitting the under (44.5). Tennessee defeated them 27-32 on November 25th as eight-point favorites, the total going over (41). They recorded a 34-10 victory over Dallas on November 19, covering the -7 spread and posting the over (41.5). Detroit took it to the team, resulting in a 23-26 loss on November 11, although it covered as the +4.5 underdog, the total going under (49.5). They fell, finally on November 1st, to the Jets 13-21 as +2.5 underdogs in the game going under (43.5).

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

To begin, the Miami Dolphins and the Houston Texans have their records currently etched in contrast: Miami stands with a 3-7 record, while Houston owns a 7-3 tally. The same trends in both teams also include having a tie in ATS (Against the Spread) at 5-5 along with the O/U (Over/Under) at 3-6-1 each. Houston scores some slightly more points averaged in games at 24.0 against Miami’s 21.9. Miami is again ahead with rushing yards per game: 106.9 as opposed to Houston’s 96.8. In the passing game as well, Houston edges out with a higher completion percentage (61.49% to Miami’s 60.39%) and passing yards per game (246.4 to Miami’s 229.3). Offensive Yards Total is also very close – 336.2 – for Miami and 343.2 – for Houston. On average, both teams give away 1.7 turnovers to cut an even fight in ball security.

Team Injuries

Miami Dolphins

Raheem Mostert (RB, hip), Terron Armstead (T, knee), Anthony Walker (LB, hamstring), Bradley Chubb (LB, knee), Blake Ferguson (LS, illness), Cameron Goode (LB, knee), and Kader Kohou (CB, back) are all questionable. Tyus Bowser (OLB, knee) and Austin Jackson (OL, knee) are out.

Houston Texans

Jerry Hughes (DE, hip) and Jeff Okudah (CB, quad) questionable. Folorunso Fatukasi (DT, foot), Jalen Pitre (S, shoulder) and Xavier Hutchinson (WR, shoulder) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Houston Texans will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 46.5.

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