NFL : Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 5, 2025 4:25PM EST @ Empower Field at Mile High

The Kansas City Chiefs have been running pretty well with the momentum gained from their last several matches that included victories against Pittsburgh, Houston, Cleveland, and the Chargers. Offensively and defensively, they have been very solid, and this week they’re missing some key players from their roster. On the other hand, the Denver Broncos have not been able to stand strong, having suffered several close defeats, including matches against Cincinnati and the Chargers. However, they managed to pull off a couple of big wins, but much headway must be made on the injury front to have a successful shot at the Kansas City Chiefs.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Chiefs 5.56 , Broncos 1.16

Spread: Chiefs +11 , Broncos -11

Over/Under: 40

Team Recent Performance

Kansas City Chiefs

The team has won several matches starting with one played on December 26, against Pittsburgh. That match ended with a score of 29-10 in favor of the team which was a 2-points favorite and stayed under the 46 points total. They also met Houston on December 22, which ended with a scoreline of 27-19. The matchup with Houston under 43 total finished covering as a 3.5-points favorite. Another victory under the belt for the team came from a clash with Cleveland on December 16; they won the game 21-7 while remaining under 41.5 total as 4.5-points favorites. Next came a close 19-17 victory over the Chargers on December 9 and the Raiders on November 30, under the totals of 43 and 42 respectively, however, they covered neither as 4.5-point and 13.5-point favorites.

Denver Broncos

The team has accumulated a recent performance of 24-30 losses to Cincinnati on December 29th against a 3-point spread and a total over of 50.5. On December 20th, they faced the Chargers and lost again at 27-34 while also covering a 3-point head start and hitting the over expectation of 41.5. On December 16th, they again had a very good showing defeating Indianapolis 31-13 as 4.5-point favorites on a 44-point total. Yet again on December 3, they had another victory against Cleveland, 41-32 covering home turf on 6.5 points and going over on 41.5. On November 25th, they triumphed over Las Vegas, winning 29-19, and covered the spread of 6 points on the way for the over on a 41.5 total.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

As for their direct clash, the Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) actually take the cake over the Denver Broncos (1-9) with their all-time record. The spread was covered by the Chiefs quite a number of times at 4-6 whereas the Broncos were only able to achieve a 6-4 score against the spread. Both teams also hit over 4 times in their last 10 games. The Chiefs are scoring more points by a mean of 24.30 points per match, compared to the Broncos’ meager 16.60 average. Kansas City has a total of 90.10 rushing yards per game, while Denver leads at 132.20. The Chiefs pass 37.70 per game with a completion rate of 66.31%, which totals 267.70 passing yards. In contrast, Denver passes 32.60 times with a completion rate of 58.90%, totaling 176.20 yards. Overall, Kansas City averaged 357.8 total yards per game, as opposed to Denver’s 308.4, while the Chiefs found themselves turning the ball over 1.40 times a game and the Broncos 1.90.

Team Injuries Update

Kansas City Chiefs

A lengthy injury list confronts the Chiefs during the week. Travis Kelce (TE), Patrick Mahomes (QB), Kareem Hunt (RB), and Justin Reid (S) are to rest. Doubtful with a calf injury, Chris Jones (DT) is the lone player in that category. Meanwhile, Jawaan Taylor (T), Mecole Hardman (WR), Jared Wiley (TE), and Trent McDuffie (CB) are contending with knee troubles. Isiah Pacheco (RB) ribs ail, while Jaylen Watson (CB) has ankle issues, and Rashee Rice (WR) is injured in the leg. Cam Jones (LB) is questionable with an illness, and Spencer Shrader (K) is out with a hamstring problem.

Denver Broncos

Luke Wattenberg (C, ankle) and Tyler Badie (RB, back) are questionable. Delarrin Turner-Yell (S, knee), Drew Sanders (LB, Achilles), and Frank Crum (T, illness) are all out. 

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Denver Broncos will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 40.

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