NFL : Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 18, 2025 4:30PM EST @ GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

The Texans will come in with some momentum after commanding victories over the Chargers and Titans, proving their mettle and progress offensively. However, the Chiefs showed their dominance, even after a recent loss to Denver, and continue to brandish their superiority as an offensive juggernaut. One thing easy to note so far is that both of these teams have put up remarkable displays in the last few weeks, providing an enticing battle between strategy and execution. So sit tight as we dive into the odds, predictions, and key factors that will likely go into deciding this exciting contest.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Texans 4.51 , Chiefs 1.22

Spread: Texans +7.5 , Chiefs -7.5

Over/Under: 41.5

Team Recent Performance

Houston Texans

They dismantled the Chargers 32-12 as +2.5 underdogs on January 12, with the total going over 41.5. On January 6, they received the +2.5 underdog award after winning against Tennessee 23-14 and, again, they hit the over on a 36.5 total. However, on December 26, they experienced severe damage from Baltimore-there was a 31-2 beatdown against them while being +6.5 underdogs, under-47.5 total. On December 22, they lost against Kansas City, with 27-19 as +3.5 underdogs and the total going over 43. They had a good comeback performance on December 16 by posting a 20-12 victory over Miami, despite being underdogs at -2.5, while the total did not reach 46.5.

Kansas City Chiefs

They really got a tough loss on January 6th when they were beaten by Denver 38-0 as +10.5 underdogs and went under a total of 40.5. Prior to that, they strangled Pittsburgh to death by score 29-10 on December 26 as -2 favorites and also hit an under on a 46-point total. Just before that, it knocked out Houston with a score of 27-19, with -3.5 favorites and the score above 43. Earlier, they beat Cleveland 21-7 on December 16 as -4.5 favorites, while the total fell under 41.5. They edged out the Chargers narrowly, 19-17, on December 9 but could not cover as -4.5 favorites under 43.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

In their series of face-offs, the Kansas City Chiefs (8-2) are way ahead of the Houston Texans (2-8). Kansas City has an advantage because it boasts superiority in winning 6-4 against the spread, averaging more points scored per game: 29.4 to 21.4. Kansas City piles up rushing yards at a per-game clip of 126 compared to the Texans’ 110.8 and passing yards also has it at 247.1 against Houston’s 235.5. The total yards are in favor of Kansas City, at 373.1 yards a game before outputting Houston’s 346.3. Also, the completion percentage is better for the Chiefs with 69.45% compared to 57.42% for the Texans. Overall, Kansas City accumulates just 1.1 turnovers per game as against the -1.9 averages that Houston manages. Therefore, the Chiefs have offense and discipline which make them the more potent contender in this matchup.

Team Injuries Update

Houston Texans

Jerry Hughes (DE, hip), Denico Autry (DE, knee), Christian Harris (LB, ankle), and Jamal Hill (LB, knee) are questionable. Shaq Mason (G, knee), Teagan Quitoriano (TE, calf), and Tank Dell (WR, knee) are out.

Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce (TE, rest), Patrick Mahomes (QB, rest), Kareem Hunt (RB, rest), Jawaan Taylor (T, knee), Mecole Hardman (WR, knee), Isiah Pacheco (RB, ribs), Jaylen Watson (CB, ankle), Rashee Rice (WR, leg), Jared Wiley (TE, knee), and Spencer Shrader (K, hamstring) are all out. Chris Jones (DT, calf), Justin Reid (S, rest), Drue Tranquill (LB, rest), Nick Bolton (LB, rest), Trent McDuffie (CB, knee), and George Karlaftis (DE, rest) are doubtful. Cam Jones (LB, illness) is questionable.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Kansas City Chiefs will win and cover the spread with the total going over 41.5.

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