NCAAF : Florida Gators vs Tennessee Volunteers Odds & Prediction

Game Info: October 12, 2024 7:00PM EDT @ Neyland Stadium

Of late, both teams have experienced emotions ranging from shouts of joy to quite moments of disappointment with Florida registering a good win against UCF. On the other hand, Tennessee is hoping for a comeback after a brutal defeat at the hands of Arkansas. Therefore, we will have to focus on the last few performances of each team and how they head to head compare with each other and how injuries have shaped the teams. With both teams struggling to gain an advantage, the game promises to be fun. Let us get into the particulars!

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Florida +462 , Tennessee -625

Spread: Florida +14.5 , Tennessee -14.5

Over/Under: 56.5

Team Recent Performance

Florida Gators

The team played its last match against UCF, which was victory 24-13 achieved on October 6, and it managed to cover the +1 spread as well as the total points under of 62. On September 22, they played and beat Mississippi State 45-28, covering the -7 points that had been placed on them as well as the total which was over 57.5. In contrast, they lost to Texas A&M on the 15th of September with only 20 points to 33, which means they failed to cover the three points under which they had been placed, however they did go over 45.5. Sam was beaten on September 8th to the tune of 45-7, however, they did not manage to cover the (-38.5) spread and went under the total of 55.5. Earlier on September 1, they faced Miami and lost 17-41, while failing to cover the +2 odds and going above 54.5 in points scored.

Tennessee Volunteers

In their last matches, the team was defeated by Arkansas on the 6th of October, with a score of 14-19, thus failing to cover the extended margin of 14 and going below the total of 57.5. They also managed to defeat Oklahoma on September 22nd, by a score of 25-15, managing to cover the extended margin of 5.5, and finishing below the total of 56.5. The team has started rather well within the season, as evident from the conquering of Kent on September 15th,  with a score of 71-0, which easily covered the spread of -49.5 and went over the line of 63.5. On September 8th, they also managed to win against NC State by a score of 51-10, overcoming the line of -9 and going over the out of 60. Then, in an away game on Charleston on September 1st, they destroyed the local team of Charleston with a score of 69-3, thus covering the deficit of -39.5 and soaring past the total of 57.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Florida undeniably outperforms Tennessee when it comes to their historical performance. While the record of the Gators stands at 8-2, the Vols’ record is 2-8, with Florida also standing at 7-3 against the spread while Tennessee is at 3-7. These two teams have also finished evenly in the over/under scores which is 4-6. Florida manages to score an average of 30.4 points per game which is quite impressive as compared to Tennessee’s average of 20.5 points. Yardage-wise, Florida averages 149.4 yards on the ground compared with the 145.7 yards by Tennessee. By both attempts and yardage Florida outdoes Tennessee 33.6 attempts and 263.3 yards for Florida to 31.3 and 245 respectively for Tennessee, along with a better completion rate of 62.8% as compared to 58.47%. In addition, Florida averages less turnovers in a game than Tennessee (1.6 to 2.2).

Team Injuries

Florida Gators

They are dealing with many key injuries going into their game. Asa Turner (DB), Austin Barber (OL), and Bryce Thornton (S) are questionable for the game. Ja’Quavion Fraziars (WR), Marcus Burke (WR), and TJ Abrams (WR), Devon Manuel (OL), and Tony Livingston (TE) have all been ruled out. Treyaun Webb (RB) and KD Daniels (RB) will also be unavailable. Kahleil Jackson (QB), Jamari Lyons (DE), and Joey Slackman (DL) are all out for the year. The good news is that Aidan Mizell (WR) and Eugene Wilson III (WR) have both been upgraded to probable for Saturday’s match.

Tennessee Volunteers

Dont’e Thornton (WR) is likely to play, while Montrell Bandy (DB) and John Slaughter (DB) are uncertain. Ben Bolton (LB) is expected to miss out on the action whereas Edwin Spillman (LB) cannot participate at all. Moreover, Jourdan Thomas (DB) will not be available for the remainder of the campaign due to a knee injury.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Tennessee Volunteers will win and cover the spread, with the total staying under 56.5.

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