NBA : Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Odds & Prediction

Game Info: March 7, 2025 10:00PM EST @ Ball Arena 

The teams have very different results in their recent matches. Phoenix has had many signs of excellent offense but is fighting to find consistency, and Denver has mostly been steady and not dominant. The Suns have drawn toward their games being scored high, while the Nuggets have seen most games beaten under the total. Very closely matched and almost identical in records along with stats, the game could boil down to key performances and late-game execution. Expect this battle between two squads who look to gain steam as the season progresses.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Suns 3.49 , Nuggets 1.32

Spread: Suns +7.5 , Nuggets -7.5

Over/Under: 238.5

Team Recent Performance

Phoenix Suns

Before earning a 119-117 victory against the Clippers on March 5 as +2.5 underdogs while the total went over 223.5, they were beaten by the Timberwolves on March 3 with a score of 116-98, failing to cover a +1.5 margin and producing a final score under 234. On March 1, they rebounded to Southicron with a 125-108 win while they were given a -9.5 odd in that game and also went for over 227.5. But they lost again to Pelicans on February 28, 124-116, also failing to meet their margin of -6.5 since it also went over 237. Then on February 26, they lost a high-scoring duel with the Grizzlies, 151-148, but nailed a bet as +6.5 underdogs. Its total was soaring over 245.5. The Suns have also come to rely more on the over heading into recent contests.

Denver Nuggets

On March 6, they won against the Kings 116-110, failing to cover the spread of -8.5, with the total points below 235. On March 3, they lost against the Celtics 110-103 as +5.5 underdogs, with the total points going under-236. They managed to take a victory over the Pistons, 134-119, on March 1, covering as +2 underdogs, with an over of 240. Prior to this, on February 28, they lost to the Bucks 121-112, not covering -3, and the match total went U-241. Denver also managed to beat the Pacers 125-116 on February 25, covering -3.5, with the match total going under 246. Denver has been more hit and miss against the spread, and the majority of the time, the games go under.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

At records of 5-5 each, the Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets stand as perfectly matched rivals, even in their 5-5 records against the spread. Unfortunately, they’ve also suffered atrophy in total, both severely going 3-7 to the over. Denver has the slight edge offensively, as its scoring average of 114.3 per game beats Phoenix’s 108.9 points per game. The shooting percentage from the field is in favor of the Nuggets with 49.15 per cent to the Suns’ 45.94 per cent. Rebounds also favor Denver 44.3 to 41.9. The only difference is scoring a little more at halftime; the Nuggets average 59.2 points to Phoenix’s 58.1. The Suns made 123 of 325 three, while the Nuggets went 115 for 318. The last hold is in per-game steal averages, where Denver’s 6.5 beats Phoenix’s 5.9. Altogether, the gift comes. Exciting for a well-competitive matchup, both show well in their respective areas.

Team Injuries Update

Phoenix Suns

Monte Morris (PG, back) and Cody Martin (SF, core) are out.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon (SF, ankle) is questionable. DaRon Holmes (SF, Achilles) is out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Denver Nuggets will win but the Phoenix Suns will cover the spread with the total staying under 238.5.

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