NBA : Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Prediction

Game Info: February 23, 2025 9:30PM EST @ Target Center

The Oklahoma City Thunder come into this matchup riding a phenomenal wave of performances, with several recent opponents succumbing to high-scoring losses. The Minnesota Timberwolves have endured some setbacks, unable to put together any kind of consistency but showing they can up their game for key wins. The very recent history of these teams sees Minnesota proving that they can handle OKC, thus putting more drama into this rematch. Injuries hit both squads, and depth and resilience will come to the fore in deciding the outcome. It will be an all-out war, trying to keep the Thunder hot and the Timberwolves protecting their home.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Thunder 1.26 , Timberwolves 3.97

Spread: Thunder -8.5 , Timberwolves +8.5

Over/Under: 229

Team Recent Performance

Oklahoma City Thunder

On February 22, the Thunder crushed the Jazz 130-107, covering a hefty 15.5-point spread, with a total that went over 233. They fell on February 14 to the Timberwolves 116-101 against a spread of 9.5 points, with the total remaining under 229. They did clear the Heat 115-101 on February 13, failing to cover as 14-point favorites; under 222.5, the total remained. Then on February 11, they absolutely smashed the New Orleans Pelicans 137-101 as 17.5-point favorites with an over on that one at 232.5. On February 9, they secured a 125-112 win over the Grizzlies, covering as 1.5-point favorites, while the total stayed under 245.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves’ last game against Rockets on February 22 saw them lose by 121-115; failing to cover 4-point underdogs while the total was over 222.5. They also played against Thunder on February 14 and were able to overcome their previous losses, winning 116-101 in spite of being 9.5-point underdogs; while they managed under 229. A day before that, they lost, again not covering, this time landing at 9.5-point favorites, against the Bucks, 103–101. On the last day of the previous week, the Timberwolves lost to Cavs 128-107, and saw themselves going over 232 underdogs by eight. On February 11, defeated by the Cavs, 128-107 while not managing to cover as 8-point underdogs; the total was over 232. The team beat the Trail Blazers at their home on February 9 by a score of 114 – 98, were able to cover a 4-point-difference, and went under a total of 213.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

In their last 10 games, the Minnesota Timberwolves hold a slight lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder, going 6-4 straight and 5-4-1 against the spread, with the under being a favorite for seven of those games. The Timberwolves score 111.3 points per game against the Thunder’s 109.5 and average scoring more points in the first half, 56.2 points compare to 53.7, on a better field goal percentage of 47.72% compared to 45.18%. Minnesota also earns itself the boards at the highest rate, averaging 46.4 rebounds against 39.8 for OKC. By hitting 126 treys on 331 attempts, Minnesota has been a little better than OKC, which has hit 114 threes on 337 attempts. In contrast, OKC is better at stealing-the-ball, with an average of 8.8 a game as opposed to just 7.9 for the Timberwolves.

Team Injuries Update

Oklahoma City Thunder

Luguentz Dort (PG, back) and Jalen Williams (PF, wrist) are questionable. Nikola Topić (PG, knee) and Ajay Mitchell (PG, toe) are out.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Rudy Gobert (C, back), Julius Randle (SF, groin), and Donte DiVincenzo (PG, toe) are out. Terrence Shannon (PF, foot) is questionable.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder will win but the Minnesota Timberwolves will cover the spread with the total staying under 229.

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