NBA : New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Odds & Prediction

Game Info: February 5, 2025 9:00PM EST @ Ball Arena

The Pelicans have been very competitive of late but are having a tough time putting games away. The Nuggets have been solid at home, grabbing the important wins but show their inconsistency against the spread. Offensively, Denver gets the edge, while New Orleans will need to increase defensive intensity to stay in the game. An interesting challenge is being posed for both teams on both sides of the half-court since they are each missing key contributors.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Pelicans 4.84 , Nuggets 1.20

Spread: Pelicans +10.5 , Nuggets -10.5

Over/Under: 239.5

Team Recent Performance

New Orleans Pelicans

To Denver four-point underdogs, they lost 113-125 in an under game at 241.5. On February 1, they lost the very close game to Boston, 116-118, but they covered +12; the total went over 231.5. On January 30, they suffered another narrow loss to Dallas, 137-136, as +1 underdogs with the total going over 233.5. Two days prior, on January 28, the Pelicans lost to the Raptors 113-104 failing to cover +1 where the total stayed under 232.5. On January 26, the team had a -1.5 disadvantage towards the Hornets’ 123-92 loss, again coming in under the total of 230.5.

Denver Nuggets

On February 4, the Nuggets thumped the Pelicans 125-113, covering a -9.5 spread, with the total going under at 241.5. Days prior, on February 2, the Nuggets’ victory over the Hornets 107-104 was marred by a failed cover of the -12.5 spread, which, like that on 4 February, finished well under 226.5. On February 1, in their likely magic game, the Nuggets beat the 76ers 137-134 to remain, likewise, under 235 with a -12.5 spread against their forecast. The Nuggets had an unfortunate evening with the New York Knicks on January 24, where they lost 112-122, failing to cover as +3 dogs, and the total dropped under 240.5. On January 28, the Bulls crushed them as -9.5 favorites, which they could not cover another time; the total easily perched over at 247.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

The New Orleans Pelicans 4-6 meet the Denver Nuggets 6-4 in their head-to-head matchup where both teams have had equally mixed results. The Pelicans, betting-wise, have gone 6-4, and the Nuggets have gone 4-6. Both teams have gone 5-5 over/under. Offensively, Denver barely out margins New Orleans with 114.8 points per game to the Pelicans’ 114.3. At half-time, the Pelicans slightly lead in scoring, getting 59.0 to Denver’s 57.3; however, the Nuggets have the edge over field-goal shooting (49.55 percent to 47.82 percent) and rebounding (44.4 per game to 42.1). New Orleans has made 112 three-pointers out of 300 attempts, while Denver has connected on 108 out of 343. New Orleans’ heft thus comes in defence against the shooting threat in terms of steals, averaging 8.6 per game to 6.6 for Denver.

Team Injuries Update

New Orleans Pelicans

Brandon Ingram (SF, ankle), Daniel Theis (SF, thumb), and Herbert Jones (PF, shoulder) are out.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon (SF, injury management), Vlatko Čančar (SF, knee), Peyton Watson (PG, knee), and DaRon Holmes (SF, Achilles) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Denver Nuggets will win but the New Orleans Pelicans will cover the spread with the total staying under 239.5.

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