NBA : Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Odds & Prediction

Game Info: April 5, 2025 8:00PM EDT @ Kaseya Center

The Milwaukee Bucks arrive in Miami as contenders on the backs of winning streaks that have proven they can still hit the big scoreline when required. The Heat have just lost narrowly, but they have proven to be pretty tough in collecting their impressive wins against some of the best teams including Boston and Philadelphia. So both these teams stand in pretty good form, making this matchup an exciting showdown of offensives in the middle of the season. A brawl is expected between two playoff contenders at the Kaseya Center.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Bucks 1.79 , Heat 2.06

Spread: Bucks -2 , Heat +2

Over/Under: 215.5

Team Recent Performance

Milwaukee Bucks

They knocked the Philadelphia 76ers out of the league with a score of 126-113 on April 4 while the total went over 228 using a -11.5 spread. It was on April 2 when they beat the Phoenix Suns 133-123 as 6.5-point favorites and the game went above the total of 225.5. But March 31, they lost to the Atlanta Hawks 145-124 at a very high scoring game failing against -4.5 spread and went over at 236. March 29, they lost painfully to New York Knicks 116-107 as a 1-point favorite, again went over the 218.5 total. March 27, they lost to the Denver Nuggets 127-117 but covered the +11.5 spread, at the same time having the total over at 228.

Miami Heat

A heart-aching game ended for the Miami Heat on April 4, 110-108 over the Memphis Grizzlies, with the +5.5 spread in their favor as it stayed under the total of 226.5. The previous day, the Heat had upset Boston 124-103, crushing the Celtics and obliterating the cover of +10.5 with over 211.5 total points scored. The Heat had previously slid past the Wizards on April 1 by a score of 120-94, with a cashing-in of -9.5 spread, albeit under 215 total. Earlier on March 30, the Heat defeated the 76ers, 118-95, against -8 spread, covering under total 215 points as well. On March 28 were the Heat-playing-the-Hawks, a game of 122-112 Heat to ultimately cover 1-point spread, with over 224.5 total points.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

The Milwaukee Bucks hold a 6-4 advantage over the Miami Heat, including 6-4 in terms of the spread (ATS), over the last 10 meetings; in turn, the Heat were 4-6 in these meetings. The total has gone over in 7 of those games. The Bucks average scoring 117.8 points per game, and the Heat average scoring 116.3 points. However, at halftime, Milwaukee leads 62.4 against the Heat’s 58.8. In field goal shooting, it is tied: Bucks 48.15% and Heat 48.03%. Milwaukee wins slightly on a rebounding average with 44.6 compared to Miami’s 43.3 rebounds. On 3-pointers, the Bucks made 157 baskets in 393 attempts while the Heat converted 139 of 361 attempts. Miami averages more steals, 7.0 to Milwaukee’s 6.3.

Team Injuries Update

Milwaukee Bucks

Jericho Sims (C, thumb) is questionable.

Miami Heat

Dru Smith (PG, Achilles) is out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Miami Heat will win and cover the spread with the total going over 215.5.

Check out our suggested sportbook listed if you’re seeking for a good site to wager on this matchup.