NBA : Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 11, 2025 10:00PM EST @ Moda Center at the Rose Quarter

Miami’s ability to bounce back has greatly been reflected in their powerful performances-that include the recent thrashing of Golden state-though consistency sometimes leaves them wanting. Despite its difficulties, Portland has managed to exhibit a couple of bright spots such as a very dominant win over Milwaukee. Both are also without players and are tinkering with what they have, but Miami’s efficiency in scoring and defensively gives them the edge here. Hence, it set the pace for an all-styles game with a balanced attack from Miami against Portland’s battling efforts to find rythmn.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Heat 1.59 , Trail Blazers 2.46

Spread: Heat -3.5 , Trail Blazers +3.5

Over/Under: 219

Team Recent Performance

Miami Heat

They won against Utah on January 10 with a score of 97-92 but did not cover the spread as -5.5 favorites while remaining under 221.5. On January 8, they had a resounding win over Golden State, 114-98, as a +9 underdog with the final score going under on 217. They lost 118-123 to Sacramento on January 7 and did not cover while being +4 and the total went over 218.5. They lost to Utah 100-136 on January 5 as -8.5 favorites and also went over 225. They also lost to Indiana on January 3, 115-128, failing to cover the -2 spread and hitting over 225.5 total points.

Portland Trail Blazers

The Mavericks beat them 111-117 on January 10, but they covered the +7.5 point underdog with the combined score going over 220.5. The day before, they were given a +2 too and won against New Orleans, with a score of 119-100, without going over the 223 total. They went down against Detroit on January 7 by a score of 115-118, but they went over the 224 in covering a +6 spread. Major win came on January 5 against Milwaukee, 105-102 as +12 underdogs, staying under 228. They lost to the Lakers on January 3, 106-114, going under 225 and not covering the +6.5 points.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

The Miami Heat have blossomed into a thriving franchise and are now 7-3 compared to the Portland Trail Blazers, who are in contrast compared to them with only 3 wins and 7 losses in their head-to-head matchup. The Miami team also set a well-determined score with its resume of 7-3 against the spread, while Portland was able to match the overall standings of 3-7 in ATS as well. In total scoring, both teams remained at par, tied with the same 5-5 O/U record. Offensively though, Miami knocks all above the average with 115.3 points scored in a game, halftimes at 59.6 against Portland with numbers of 103.6 and 52.4 respectively. Efficiency in shooting for the Heat at 49.76% surpasses that of the Trail Blazers at 44.84%, while average rebounds show Miami with 41.4 to Portland’s 40.1. Miami also shoots better from three-point land, making 161 of its 374 shots, as opposed to Portland, which has made 135 of 379 attempts so far this season. In terms of defense, the Heat’s 8.9 steals per game outshine the 6.6 steals per game registered by Portland’s defense. Scoring, shooting, and defense give Miami an edge favoring them in this matchup.

Team Injuries Update

Miami Heat

Josh Richardson (PG, heel) and Kevin Love (SF, personal) are doubtful. Jimmy Butler (SF, suspension) and Dru Smith (PG, Achilles) are out.

Portland Trail Blazers

Jerami Grant (SF, face), Robert Williams (C, rest), and Matisse Thybulle (PF, knee) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Miami Heat will win and cover the spread with the total staying under 219.

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