NBA : Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Odds & Prediction

Game Info: January 7, 2025 10:00PM EST @ Chase Center

The Heat is undergoing a tough stretch as they are losing multiple games, two against Sacramento and Utah, one more versus Indiana, but defeating New Orleans in between. Golden State’s had similar ups and downs losing two games to Sacramento and Memphis. Yet, against Philadelphia and Phoenix, the team stood strong. Although both teams are going through a little turbulence, they are still fierce competitors and will look to turn things around in this match-up. Both fighting for their first win will make this match a cut-throat one.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Heat 4.37 , Warriors 1.23

Spread: Heat +9.5 , Warriors -9.5

Over/Under: 219

Team Recent Performance

Miami Heat

The team was beaten on January 7 by Sacramento with a score of 118-123 when put as underdogs of 4 points with the over total of 218.5. They were defeated on January 5th by Utah 100-136 as 8.5-point underdogs, with the total going over 225. On January 3rd, they lost to Indiana 115-128, with underdogs of just 2 points while going over the total of 225.5. On January 2nd, they won against New Orleans, 119-108, as 9-point favorites, and went over on 220.5. The last day of December they barely made it by 104-100 over Houston as 8.5-point underdogs, and stayed under the total of 215. Their last results reflect different losses, all pretty high scoring, but at least they managed to win their last game in this stretch.

Golden State Warriors

On January 6, they lost to Sacramento 99-129, according to 3-point favorites with an over of 225. A day ago, Memphis burned them to a 121-113. The same, 3-point favorites, so far going over a total of 230. Last January 3, they visited and mauled the Philadelphia 139-105 while going to over 220 as well. They lost to Cleveland 95-113 on December 31 as 3.5-point underdogs, with the total going under 232. On December 29, they beat Phoenix narrowly with a score of 109-105 without covering a 7-point spread, and the total also did not exceed 220. In general, it has been a rollercoaster for the team with a couple of outstanding, few barely-there; several losses where neither the spread nor the total managed to be hit.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Both the Golden State Warriors and the Miami Heat have established a similar winning and losing record of 5-5 heading into their match-up. The Heat have shown a slight edge in the spread, winning 6-4 of their matches compared to the Warriors’ 4-6. The difference also extends to the over/under, with both teams tied at 6-4. At the scoring range, it throws Golden State ahead with 111.5 points scored while the Heat scores slightly lower at 110.7 points per game. A wait of a few minutes before a half finds the Heat leading with 58.7 points to 53.3 by the Warriors. The shooting percentage is tied to the Warriors’ 46.29 on the floor and Heat at 45.8; and on the boards, it is a narrow 42.6 to 41.6 rebounds per game from 46,000; the bounce was also in favor of the Warriors. Golden State made 140 three-pointers from 391 attempts, while 130 made by Miami from 360 attempts. The Heat average 7.9 steals, while the Warriors have a total of 6.7 steals per game on average.

Team Injuries Update

Miami Heat

Josh Richardson (PG, heel), Jimmy Butler (SF, suspension), and Dru Smith (PG, Achilles) are out.

Golden State Warriors

Andrew Wiggins (SF, hamstring) is probable. Gary Payton (PG, calf) and Brandin Podziemski (PG, abdominal) are out.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Golden State Warriors will win and cover the spread with the total going over 219.

Check out our suggested sportbook listed if you’re seeking for a good site to wager on this matchup.