NBA : Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Odds & Prediction

Game Info: March 21, 2025 8:30PM EDT @ American Airlines Center

When the Detroit Pistons take on the Dallas Mavericks, it will be two teams trending in opposite directions. The Pistons are getting their fair share of positive energy from winning some nice games, most recently fielding a performance that shamed the Pelicans, but they cannot cover the spread when playing tight games. For their part, the Mavericks are trying to get over a recent rough patch that included several losses, one of them being a high-scoring duel with the Pacers. Offensively, however, Dallas has mostly been on top of the league this season, though the rebounding achievements and defensive pressure that Detroit can bring will make it all interesting. Expect a highly competitive clash competing for a statement win at American Airlines Center, as both teams would want.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Pistons 1.25 , Mavericks 4.17

Spread: Pistons -9 , Mavericks +9

Over/Under: 232

Team Recent Performance

Detroit Pistons

On March 20, they defeated the Heat in a 116-113 game, but, as -4.5 favorites, they failed to cover the spread and went over a total of 216 in betting. On March 18, they outclassed the Pelicans 127-81, going on to cover the -6.5 spread while falling under a total of 235. They lost to the Thunder 107-113 on March 16, failing to cover a +4 spread, with the total going to under 230.5. They dropped that game to the Wizards 125-129, failing to cover a -13 spread and the total went over 234. They rebounded against Washington on March 12 with a 123-103 win, covering -15 while going under 235.

Dallas Mavericks

They fell to the Pacers 131-135 on March 20 but covered the +10.5 spread with the total going over 227.5. March 17 brought a loss to the 76ers 125-130 as -6.5 favorites, also hitting the over 225.5. A crushing loss to the Rockets, 96-133, on March 15, saw them cover as +12 underdogs with the total going over 219.5. They also lost to the Spurs 116-126 on March 13, missing by the +6.5 spread, while the game went over 237.5. The only victory was against the Spurs on March 11 133-129 in which they covered the +6.5 spread and hit the over 234.5.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

In the end, while the two teams have hit the same point (5-5) against the spread, so have both on their over-under records (6-4). Det last had 3-7, while Dallas was 7-3. Quite obviously, the personality of their offenses has been different, as Dallas has managed to score an average of 118.0 points per game, while the Pistons have managed only 111.6. The Mavericks came away with the better end in halftime scoring (60.8 to 57.7) and field-goal percentage (49.71 to 46.42). However, the measurements tilted the other way by a wide margin in rebounds (43.7 to 41.9) and steals (7.9 to 7.2). Beyond the arc, Dallas has also been more efficient, converting 140 of 366 three-point attempts, while Detroit has made just 113 of its 340.

Team Injuries Update

Detroit Pistons

Isaiah Stewart (SF, back) is questionable. Jaden Ivey (PG, leg) is out.

Dallas Mavericks

Caleb Martin (SF, hip) and Dereck Lively (C, ankle) are out. Brandon Williams (PG, back) is probable.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Detroit Pistons will win but the Dallas Mavericks will cover the spread with the total going over 232.

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