NBA : Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Odds & Prediction

Game Info: April 4, 2025 10:00PM EDT @ Chase Center

With a string of victories, the Warriors are coming alive with their offensive firepower and momentum. The Nuggets, though, are facing some bad times, caught up in injuries among their key players and trying to stay afloat with their own stretch of tough wins. Both teams go in with a certain gel and contrasting energy, making this a must-watch clash. Rivals fighting for daylight in a tough season Year, the odds, and the drama must all come into play here, with the fireworks guaranteed.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Nuggets 1.76 , Warriors 2.10

Spread: Nuggets -2 , Warriors +2

Over/Under: 235.5

Team Recent Performance

Denver Nuggets

As 2.5-point favorites, they lost on April 3 to the Spurs by a score of 106-113. The total points went under 229. They narrowly lost to the Timberwolves on April 2 by a score of 139-140, failing to cover the -2 spread but hitting the over on 231. They came back strong on March 29 with a 129-93 trouncing of the Jazz, covering the -19 spread and going under 239. They defeated the Bucks on March 27, 127-117, but did not cover an -11 point spread; total points went over 228. On March 25, as 2.5-point favorites, they lost to the Bulls 119-129, while the game went over 239 points.

Golden State Warriors

They overcome the Lakers 123-116 as 1-point underdogs and thus covered the over on 230 on April 4. On April 2, they defeated the Grizzlies 134-125 while covering the -3.5 spread and going over 239. They obliterated the Spurs 148-106 on March 31, covering the -11.5 spread and going over 231.5 with ease. The only loss came on March 29 when they narrowly beat the Pelicans 111-95 but failed to cover the -16.5 spread and went under 226.5. They lost to the Heat on March 26, 86-112, as 5-point favorites, just missing the spread and going under 208.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Recent form clearly favors the Nuggets, who have won 9 out of 10 against the Golden State Warriors. They are 6-4 against the spread, while the Warriors are sitting down at 4-6. The over/under is likewise shared among the two, with both going under three and seven times. The Nuggets are slightly better on offense, scoring 118.2 points per game against the Warriors’ 112.1. At half-time, the Denver side leads with 60.2 points against GSW with 56.2. Denver also shoots better from the field than Golden State, at 49.37% to 46.43%. Denver has a slight edge in rebounding at 43.6, while Golden State pulls down 42.0 rebounds per game. The Nuggets have responded from three by sinking 116 of 321 attempts, while the Warriors are successful with 127 out of 371. On defense, the two teams are similarly matched with Denver averaging 8.7 steals against Golden State’s average of 8.2 steals.

Team Injuries Update

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon (SF, calf), Nikola Jokic (C, ankle), Jamal Murray (PG, hamstring), Christian Braun (PG, foot), and DaRon Holmes (SF, Achilles) are out. Peyton Watson (PG, knee) is doubtful. Michael Porter Jr. (SF, personal) is questionable.

Golden State Warriors

Jimmy Butler (SF, back) and Draymond Green (SF, calf) are probable. Gary Payton (PG, knee) is questionable.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Golden State Warriors will win and cover the spread with the total going over 235.5.

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