MLB : New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Odds & Prediction

Game Info: July 21, 2025 7:07PM EDT @ Rogers Centre

The Yankees and Jays will be seeing each other face to face-this time the two painful rivals of the AL East face off to try and make it bigger in the second round of the season. The pair comes out of a mixture of good and bad results but has shown signs of serious offensive strike potential. With every game counting at this stage, every division battle is important because of what is backed up in playoff position. They have given us good indications of how the future will look as they prepare to meet again.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Yankees 1.89 , Blue Jays 2.02

Spread: Yankees -1.5 , Blue Jays +1.5

Over/Under: 8.5

Team Recent Performance

New York Yankees

The Twins have covered the spread both times they have beaten the Angels, once in a thrilling 12-9 game on July 19. They lost the series opener, however, 3-7, failing to even cover the spread. Before that, the Yankees lost back-to-back home games to the Cubs, not covering in either game. Totaling totals, the over hit in two of Atlanta’s last three games, while the under paid out in both games that they lost against Chicago.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays arrive off a fine series against the Giants, winning all three matches played from July 18-20. They have covered the spread in all those matchups and won convincingly, with a 4-0 shutout on July 18. Before this, they lost their last two games on the road to the Athletics without covering the spread in both. Over the totals, the last two wins versus San Francisco went over, while the earlier three games had an under payoff.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

Recent meetings between these two teams have produced mostly offensive contests with barely distinguishable offensive stats. In terms of runs scored per game, the Yankees lead with 5.80 compared to the Blue Jays at 5.70, and they maintain a higher hits average, 10.40 to 9.30. The Yankees are also drawing a few more walks than the Jays, 5.10 to 3.80. Strikeouts are more or less a dead heat, with the Yankees averaging 8.20 punchouts per game and the Blue Jays averaging 7.70. Interestingly, both clubs matched up in their last 10 games for a total over/under of 7-3, which suggests competence in offensive production and continuing trends toward high-scoring affairs.

Betting Trends

New York Yankees

The Yankees are reeling at the moment, having gone down 2-3 in their last five games, and against the spread, they have been just as bad at the same record 2-3. Away, they’ve had a bad time covering, with a 20-30 record against the spread on the road. Scoring total-wise, in two of the last five games, the total has gone over. Of the last 49 games, 19 have gone over at home.

Toronto Blue Jays

The last five matches for the Blue Jays have ended with a 3-2 record, and they are 3-2 against the spread during that time. They have been good on the road this season, as they have covered the spread in 26 of their 48 road games. Scoring-wise, two of the last five games were overs. The home has been a high-scoring place, with the total going over 30 of these last 51 home games.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The New York Yankees will win and cover the spread with the total going over 8.5.

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