MLB: New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds & Prediction

Game Info (When and Where)

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Time: 8:10 AM

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

This Saturday, the Mets are going up against the Brewers in the second game of a key three-game series between two playoff hopefuls. Both teams are just 0.5 games away from the top of their divisions, so this matchup has the vibe of October baseball in August.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Brewers -127 | Mets +107

Total Runs (O/U): 8

Run Line: Brewers -1.5 (+169) | Mets +1.5 (-205)

This season, Milwaukee has a winning percentage of 65.1% when they’re favored on the moneyline, while the Mets have covered the run line in 49 out of 101 games. Plus, the total has gone under in 59 of the Mets’ games, suggesting there could be some value in betting the under if the pitching holds up.

Mets Betting Preview

The Mets (63-52) are struggling lately, losing four of their last five games. Frankie Montas is set to pitch, but manager Carlos Mendoza hinted at the chance of using an opener due to Montas’ recent struggles. With a 6.68 ERA, Montas is allowing nearly two home runs for every nine innings he pitches.

On offense, Pete Alonso (.264 AVG, .507 SLG) and Juan Soto (.382 OBP) continue to be the core of the lineup. Francisco Lindor has contributed 14 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Cedric Mullins has performed well against lefties, boasting a slash line of .291/.382/.465.

The Mets’ bullpen, led by Edwin Díaz (1.41 ERA), is still really solid, but the lack of depth in the rotation has caused them to be overused, which could be a concern in this matchup.

Brewers Betting Preview

The Brewers (70-44) are absolutely crushing it lately, winning 20 of their last 24 games and boasting a +126 run differential. Logan Henderson is scheduled to pitch on Saturday, and while he may not be a household name, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has been nothing short of amazing.

Christian Yelich (.444 SLG), Sal Frelick (.298 AVG), and Brice Turang (.276 AVG) lead a solid lineup that excels in high-pressure moments. Even without Jackson Chourio and Rhys Hoskins, Milwaukee continues to score and dominate their opponents.

Milwaukee’s bold baserunning and solid defense make them a challenging opponent for any team, particularly when they’re on their home field.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets are only 0.5 games behind the top spot in the NL East, whereas the Brewers are leading the NL Central by 2.0 games.

Mets bullpen ERA: 3.75 vs. Brewers: 3.97

Mets have won 63.9% of games as favorites; Brewers 45.2%

The New York Mets have a 2-1 record against the Milwaukee Brewers this season

This game between the Mets and Brewers highlights a classic battle of styles: New York offers power and strong pitching, while Milwaukee depends on speed and contact. The Brewers hold a slight edge in team batting average (.239 vs .243) and stolen bases (82 to 47), but the Mets shine in ERA and home run hitting.

Mets at Brewers Prediction

This game seems to favor Milwaukee, especially considering Montas’ inconsistency on the mound. The Brewers have the edge with their reliable performance, depth, and the benefit of playing at home. It’s expected to be a tight match, but Milwaukee’s recent form and well-rounded lineup are probably going to prevail.

Sportbook.AG Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 3 Best Bet: Brewers Moneyline (-130) Lean: Under 8.5 runs

In a tight playoff race, this Mets vs. Brewers matchup could really influence how both teams perform as they approach the final stretch. Bettors should pay attention to lineup changes and pitching confirmations, but at the moment, Milwaukee looks like the more reliable choice.