Boxing: Richardson Hitchins at Oscar Duarte Odds & Prediction

Game Info:

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Time: The main PPV show kicks off at 5:45 PM ET, and we can expect the Richardson Hitchins vs. Oscar Duarte ring walks to happen around 10:45 PM ET.

Betting Odds

The odds are heavily leaning towards the champion’s skills, but Duarte is still considered a live underdog due to his remarkable knockout percentage.

Moneyline: Richardson Hitchins (-550) / Oscar Duarte (+380)

Method of Victory: Hitchins by Decision (-220) / Duarte by KO (+800)

Total Rounds: Over 10.5 (-450) / Under 10.5 (+310)

Richardson Hitchins Betting Preview

Richardson Hitchins (20-0, 8 KOs) enters this fight as the current champion after his notable stoppage of George Kambosos Jr. in 2025. Hitchins is great at keeping distance, using his impressive 74-inch reach to hold his opponents back with his jab. For those placing bets, the champion is the safest choice for a decision win. He usually plays it safe, concentrating on neutralizing his opponent’s attacks with excellent footwork and head movement. However, the IBF’s strict rehydration clause is something to watch in this matchup, as it could impact the stamina of larger fighters at 140 pounds in the later rounds.

Oscar Duarte Betting Preview

Oscar Duarte (30-2-1, 23 KOs) is a tough competitor who has breathed new life into his career with four consecutive wins following a defeat to Ryan Garcia in 2023. To clinch a win in the Richardson Hitchins bout, Duarte must turn the boxing match into a slugfest. Known as “La Migraña,” he applies relentless pressure and possesses the knockout strength to change the course of the fight with a single hook. If you’re betting on a significant win, watch out for Duarte in the later rounds, particularly between rounds 9 and 12, as he usually finds his groove while his opponents begin to fade.

Matchup Facts

Hitchins enjoys a 3-inch reach advantage, which will be key for controlling the center of the ring.

Duarte has an amazing knockout rate of nearly 70%, whereas Hitchins is at 40%.

This is Hitchins’ second defense of the IBF title, which he claimed from Liam Paro in late 2024.

Both fighters will be on the same card as Gary Antuanne Russell, paving the way for a possible unification matchup later this year.

Richardson Hitchins at Oscar Duarte Prediction

Oscar Duarte is definitely a tough competitor because of his strength and resilience, but there’s a clear skill gap in this fight. Hitchins is probably the most elusive technician in the division, and there’s a solid reason for that; his ability to evade pressure and deliver counter-punches is second to none. Duarte may have some initial success by targeting body shots, but as the match progresses, Hitchins will likely adapt and take control on the scorecards.

Sportbook AG Final Prediction: Richardson Hitchins by Unanimous Decision.