Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 NBA Playoffs Western Conference Finals betting preview and prediction

The Golden State Warriors (63-32 SU) and (49-43-4 ATS) have been the best team in the NBA Playoffs and are now just one win away from their sixth trip to the NBA Finals in just eight seasons.

The only thing standing in their way are Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (60-37 SU) and (55-42-1 ATS). Despite being 0-3 in the Western Conference Finals, they’ll look to live for another day and force Game 5 at Chase Center.

The Warriors have completely annihilated the Mavs’ otherworldly three-point shooting. They’ve done an outstanding job of guarding the perimeter and limiting Doncic’s supporting cast, even if he’s put up huge numbers.

Stephen Curry, Jordan Poole, and Andrew Wiggins have been on a roll in the whole series. And, even though Jason Kidd is great at making defensive adjustments, the Mavs simply lack the personnel to contain that much firepower.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Matchup Info

  • Matchup: Pacific vs. Southwest
  • Date: Tuesday, May 24, 2022
  • Venue: American Airlines Center
  • Location: Dallas, TX
  • TV-Time: TNT – 9:00 p.m. ET

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Analysis and Prediction

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 63-32
  • ATS: 49-43-4
  • O/U: 43-51-2

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 60-38
  • ATS: 55-42-1
  • O/U: 37-60-1

The Dallas Mavericks are one-point favorites ahead of this win-or-go-home matchup. That’s unsurprising because they’ve been a better team at home than on the road. And, simply put, they can’t afford another setback.

In terms of the Over/Under, oddsmakers have set the game total to 215.5 points. That’s kind of low by today’s standards. However, it makes sense as the Mavericks have struggled mightily to put up points against the Golden State Warriors’ defense.

You never want to put your money against Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors in a situation like this. They can smell blood and aren’t the kind of team that takes their feet off their rivals’ necks, especially after the 3-1 debacle in 2016.

Even though the officials will likely favor the Dallas Mavericks to try and extend this series, we just don’t see Steve Kerr’s team losing. They’ve dominated the Mavs on both ends of the floor and will want to get plenty of rest before the NBA Finals.

The Golden State Warriors have proven that they can put the Dallas Mavericks’ offense in a chokehold nearly at will. They’ve put together impressive runs and the Mavs have gone ice cold when they run their small-ball lineups, swarming the perimeter and disrupting their shooters’ rhythm.

Simply put, the Warriors are no longer a run-and-gun team capable of pushing up the pace for the full 48 minutes. They can’t run up and down the floor at full speed like they used to, so they’ll keep the tempo down and help this game fall under the total.

Predictions

Dallas Mavericks +1 and under 215.5

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