Day 1: Best Bets for NCAA Round 1

The brackets are established and the “First Four” completes its games in Dayton which marks the start of the basketball madness that begins this Thursday. The basketball world focuses its attention on Duke because they enter the tournament as the first overall seed and betting odds list them as the most likely team to win at +325. The first day of betting offers more value to experienced bettors who understand that mid-major teams and particular game matchups provide better chances to win money.

Louisville -5.5 vs South Florida

The Cardinals are a popular pick to cover the spread in their opening matchup. The defense of Louisville matches its South Florida opponent because the latter team relies on creating chaos and obtaining second-chance opportunities. The Cardinals rank as one of the premier rebounding teams in the country because they have perimeter shooting ability that allows them to rank among the top five teams in three-point shots made which enables them to exploit the Bulls defense that constantly tries to block shots from the paint area. The more disciplined Power 5 team should be given points in this matchup.

High Point vs Wisconsin 164.5

The High Point versus Wisconsin game provides the best chance for you to earn points. Both teams demonstrate a tendency to shoot three-point shots without restraint. Wisconsin enters the tournament firing the third most three pointers in the nation. High Point has the 10th highest scoring average they score at 86.5 pts per game. The game will develop into a fast-paced contest which will produce frequent scoring opportunities.

Ohio State -2.5 vs TCU

The 8/9 basketball game between the Buckeyes and the Horned Frogs requires your attention. TCU has demonstrated itself as a challenging opponent throughout the season despite Ohio State entering the match as a minor favorite. The Horned Frogs’ experienced backcourt players provide them with a valuable opportunity to win the game through their moneyline odds of +116.

Day 1 Betting Strategy:

• Target the Under: Since 2010 historical data shows that tournament games have finished with fewer points than the total 70% of the time. 
• Trust the 1-Seeds: The payouts from moneylines will far exceed spreads (-29.5 and -22.5), though defense could hold only briefly and board under 25.5 may end up thriving.