MLB: Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Odds & Prediction

Jay M
August 27, 2025
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Game Info: Tuesday, August 27, 2025, 12:10 pm ET, LoanDepot Park, Miami FL

Betting Odds

According to the latest updates, the Braves are entering this game as slight favorites:

Moneyline: Braves -130 | Marlins +109

Run Line: Braves -1.5 (+127) | Marlins +1.5 (-152)

Total Runs (O/U): 8.5 (Over -107 | Under -113)

The implied odds suggest that the Braves have a 56.5% chance of winning, while the Marlins sit at 47.8%.

Braves Betting Preview

Joey Wentz is set to pitch for Atlanta, sporting a 4-4 record, a 5.25 ERA, and 62 strikeouts over 72.2 innings. Despite some inconsistencies, Wentz has limited Marlins batters to a .214 average in two games this season, posting a 1.23 ERA in those outings.

On the offensive front, Matt Olson leads the Braves with 72 RBIs and a .264 batting average, while Marcell Ozuna tops the team with 20 home runs. Atlanta ranks 16th in MLB for home runs (147) and 10th in on-base percentage (.320), but their .244 team batting average and 4.4 runs per game place them squarely in the middle of the league.

The Braves have been the favorites in 90 games this season, securing 45 wins (50.0%). They’ve gone 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games. Overall, their record against the run line this season stands at 54-71. When playing on the road, their spread record is 26-38.

Marlins Betting Preview

Ryan Gusto is set to pitch for Miami, holding a 7-6 record and a 5.05 ERA. He may not be the most dominant pitcher out there, but he has had moments of brilliance and will aim to take advantage of Atlanta’s recent struggles on offense.

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with a .290 batting average, while Otto Lopez has contributed 11 home runs and Agustin Ramirez has hit 18. Right now, the Miami team is tied for 12th in batting average at .250 and ranks 19th in runs scored with 564. Still, their 128 home runs have them tied for 23rd in the league.

The Marlins have been the underdogs in 110 games this season, winning 52 of them (47.3%). In their last 10 games, they’ve got a 6-4 record against the run line. Overall, their run line record for the season is 78-54.

Matchup/League Facts

The Braves have taken 2 wins in their last 5 games as the moneyline favorites.

The Marlins have been the underdogs in seven out of their last ten games, managing to win three of those matches.

In the past 10 games, the Braves and their opponents exceeded the run total five times, while the Marlins and their rivals did it six times.

Atlanta’s pitchers are currently ranked 22nd in the MLB with a team ERA of 4.38, while Miami’s pitchers are right behind them at 24th with a team ERA of 4.48.

Braves at Marlins Prediction

This game is closer than the odds indicate. Even though Atlanta has the offensive strength, Miami’s recent performance and the advantage of playing at home make them a strong contender. Get ready for an exciting match with points being scored by both teams.

Sportbook.AG Final Prediction: Marlins 6, Braves 5 Best Bet: Over 8.5 runs Lean: Marlins +1.5 on the run line

This Braves at Marlins game could come down to the bats. Neither starter has been super reliable, so it might be whoever hits better late and gets solid help from the bullpen that ends up winning.

Author Jay M