MLB : Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Odds & Prediction

Game Info: July 30, 2025 7:05PM EDT @ Yankee Stadium

In an important AL East tussle between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, the two teams hope to gain some more momentum heading into the final phase of the season. Both sides have hit the nadir of form at this late stage of the season, but redemption is possible in gaining a critical series victory against their archrivals. While the Yankees have been on top form offensively, the Rays, who are notoriously tough on the road, can flip the script.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Rays 2.17 , Yankees 1.76

Spread: Rays +1.5 , Yankees -1.5

Over/Under: 9

Team Recent Performance

Tampa Bay Rays

In their last five games, the Tampa Bay Rays have won one and lost four, two of those losses at the hands of the New York Yankees. In their last game on July 29, the Rays fell 7-5, not covering +1.5 and pushing the total OVER 8.5. Tampa Bay got its one victory on July 28 with a good win over the Yankees 4-2. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay was swept in a low-scoring series by the Reds in which all the totals stayed UNDER.

New York Yankees

The series against Tampa Bay was opened on July 29 with a 7-5 win, a cover of the -1.5 spread, and an OVER. They lost the last game against Tampa Bay 4-2, failing to cover. They also won against Philadelphia in a close one, 4-3, on July 27; however, they had lost the previous two games, including a drubbing by 12-5. Totals went OVER in three of those five games.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees bring offensive numbers that aren’t even in the least toward their next meeting. The Yankees score more runs per game (4.7) and hit more than the Rays (3.3 runs and 7.1 hits), so they seem more powerful with the bat. In terms of walking runners on base, both teams are fairly even, although Tampa seems to impart a few more walks to its credit. The teams strike out a lot, but the Rays strike out on average at 8.7 a game. The over and under for both teams sits at an equal 4-5-1, which shows that they are playing tightly contested games.

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays have experienced significant trouble against the spread lately, going 1-4 in their past five games. On the other hand, Tampa Bay has played 27-22 against the line in road games this season. Lately, their performance on offense has tended to low-scoring games, as any of their last five games goes OVER. At home, the OVER is 24 out of 59 games as a reflection of a scorning trend.

New York Yankees

Theyhave been erratic in their performances at the spread, going just 2-3 in their last five games and holding a sad 20-33 record away from home this season. And while their ATS results are not good, the Yankees have trended slightly toward higher-scoring contests in recent days, with the total eclipsing the mark in three of their last five outings. However, at their home ground, the OVER has cashed just 22 times over their last 54 games.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The New York Yankees will win but the Tampa Bay Rays will cover the spread with the total staying under 9.

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