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With the Thunder being six-point favorites and the total set at 227, the bettors will actually be watching a closely contested tight lineup between the two teams in their recent series. Both squads have shared victories in their last five encounters with each other. Quite a tough but exciting betting opportunity indeed. Let’s analyze the odds, trends, and predictions in this key matchup:
Betting Odds and Info
These are the latest odds as of writing:
Moneyline: Thunder 1.42 , Pacers 2.97
Spread: Thunder -6 , Pacers +6
Over/Under: 227
Team Recent Performance
Oklahoma City Thunder (81-20)
The Thunder play the Timberwolves on May 26, winning narrowly 128-126 but not covering the 3-point spreads and with totals going OVER 219.5. They came back on May 28 to roll 124-94 over Minnesota, covering the 9-point spread, while the total stayed UNDER 222. On June 5, the Thunder were narrowly beaten by Indiana 111-110 as a 10-point favorite, with the total going UNDER 229.5. They followed this on June 8 with a 123-107 win over the Pacers, covering an 11.5-point spread, the total going OVER 228. But on June 11, once again they were suffering at the hands of Indiana, losing 116-107, while enjoying the comforts of 5.5-point favorites, with total points remaining under at 226.
Indiana Pacers (63-37)
On May 29, the Pacers, at 4.5-point underdogs, lost the game against the Knicks 111-94, going UNDER 223. On May 31, they bounced back, beating the Knicks 125-108, fitting the bill to cover the 4.5-point spread, and the total went OVER 222.5. June 5 saw Indiana edge OKC 111-110 as 10-point underdogs, going UNDER 229.5. With the same team in mind, on June 8, they lost 123-107 against OKC, failing to cover the 11.5-point spread, and the score went to OVER 228. On June 11, the Pacers faced OKC again, winning by a score of 116-107 as 5.5-point underdogs, with the total going UNDER 226.
Team Head-to-Head Matchup
The last 10 meetings between Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers have resulted in neither of them winning, as both teams have won 5 and lost 5 when it came to straight-up, against the spread, and over/under betting. By comparison, Oklahoma City scored 118.7 points per game, while Indiana scored 115.8. The Thunder also led 58.3 to 55.7 over the Pacers at halftime. The two teams are almost tied when it comes to field goal percentages, with the Pacers shooting 47.87% and the Thunder making 47.21% of their attempts. Indiana won the battle on rebounds (45.8 to 44.5) and made threes (131-of-358 versus 118-of-327), but the Thunder came out ahead in steals, averaging 8.7 per game to the Pacers’ 6.8.
Betting Trends
Oklahoma City Thunder
The Thunder have prevailed in four matches out of their last five. They also managed to cover the spread in four matches. In this season, they have a tremendous 25-13 spread record against the road. The combined score has been OVER in the last five games three times and in 25 of their last 43 home outings.
Indiana Pacers
The Pacers won 4 of their last 5 games but covered only 2 of those. They have an away record of 19-22 against the spread within the season. The total has exceeded the number of points set in 3 of their last 5 games overall and in 21 of their last 41 home games.
SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction
The Oklahoma City Thunder will win and cover the spread with the total going over 227.
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