NFL : Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Odds & Prediction

Game Info: October 17, 2024 8:15PM EDT @ Caesars Superdome

In the last couple of weeks, both teams have had some highs and lows, with the Denver side performing better on the whole, unlike New Orleans who has had problems winning. To give a clear picture about the two teams, we shall analyze their recent results and head to head stats, while also focusing on their injury status. Coming up will be an extensive analysis of how well these two teams stand in relation to each other as they prepare to play on Thursday.

Betting Odds and Info

These are the latest odds as of writing:

Moneyline: Broncos -151 , Saints +131

Spread: Broncos -3 , Saints +3

Over/Under: 37.5

Team Recent Performance

Denver Broncos

They experienced a defeat against the Chargers on October 14, with the final score being 16-23 as 3-point outsiders, with the over/under surpassing 37. They faced Las Vegas on October 7 and won convincingly 34-18 as 3-point favorites with the over/under also surpassing 36. A week earlier on September 30 the team played at the Jets and emerged victorious 10-9 however they were 8-point underdogs and the total was lower than 39.5. The week prior, they played at Tampa Bay and came back 26-7 winners although they were the 6-point underdogs and the total points were under 40.5. On September 16 they lost to Pittsburgh by 6 -13 as 3-point underdogs and the total was under 36.5

New Orleans Saints

On October 14, as 3.5-point underdogs, they lost to Tampa Bay 51-27, surpassing the total of 42.5. Just six days prior, on October 8, they succumbed to Kansas City on the road 13-26 while also having been underdogs at 5.5 points and the -43.5 total also corresponding. On 30 September, they lost to Atlanta 24-26 but managed to cover the +3 margin with the total score more than 42.5 On September 23, they lost to Philadelphia 12-15 despite being favored by 2.5 points, and the total score did not reach 49. On September 16, they were victorious against Dallas 44-19 as 6.5-point underdogs, and the total score affected was more than 47.

Team Head-to-Head Matchup

With a record of five wins and only one loss, Denver is doing quite well. On the contrary, the current standing of New Orleans is one win and five losses. In regard to betting, Denver has won 4 and lost 2, whereas New Orleans has a record of 2 wins and 4 losses. The total over/under also is the same for the two sides at two. The teams score on average 28 and 22.67 points per game respectively, with Denver again superior to New Orleans. In terms of rushing, Denver is ahead with 163.50 while New Orleans has 86.33, but it is the latter who has more passing yards 293.00 while Denver has 206.50. When we consider total yardage, we have Denver at 370 and New Orleans at 379.33 which is almost level. The rate of turnovers is slightly better for Denver as he gives away the ball 1.33 times per game compared to New Orleans’ 2.33 turnovers per game.

Team Injuries

Denver Broncos

Alex Singleton (LB, ACL) has been put on injured reserve, thus ending his season. Also on injured reserve is Josh Reynolds (WR, hand). Listed as questionable for Thursday is Mike McGlinchey (T, MCL). Quinn Bailey (T, ankle) has been placed on injured reserve. New information has come to light that Patrick Surtain II (CB, concussion) is now out for Thursday. Baron Browning (LB, foot) has been upgraded from out to questionable. Tyler Badie (RB, back) is considered to be out for an undisclosed timeline. Damarri Mathis (CB, ankle) is questionable. Luke Wattenberg (C, ankle) has been placed on IR. Alex Palczewski (T, ankle) has also been ruled out for Thursday.

New Orleans Saints

Tyrann Mathieu (S, forearm) exited the previous match and is questionable for Thursday. As for Derek Carr (QB, oblique), he is out for an extensive period. Lucas Patrick (G, chest) is questionable for the game. Taysom Hill (QB, abdominal) has been set back to questionable. Dante Pettis (WR, undisclosed) is placed on the IR list, while Will Harris (S, hamstring) is also on the injured reserve list. Erik McCoy (C, groin) is on IR as well. Defensive player Khalen Saunders (DT, back) has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable. Cesar Ruiz (C, knee) has been downgraded. Both Justin Herron (G, knee) and guard Shane Lemieux (G, ankle) have been placed on injured reserve. Pete Werner (LB, hamstring) has suffered a downgrade. Chris Olave (WR, concussion) has also been downgraded and placed ‘out’, whereas Rashid Shaheed (WR, knee) has been ruled out for some time. Rejzohn Wright (CB, undisclosed) has been placed on injured reserve, while Spencer Rattler (QB) will be taking the first-team reps in Thursday’s matchup.

SPORTBOOK.AG’s Prediction

The Denver Broncos will win and cover the spread, with the total staying under 37.5.

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